Thursday, June 26, 2025

Trying to Make Sense of the Latest Iran Attack Narrative Wars: Success or Not? That is the Question

 by Scott Creighton 

We are witnessing a narrative war in the Trump administration. Some say the attack on Iran's facilities was successful. Others (DIA and CENTCOM) say it was not and Iran still poses a threat to the region and of course, to Glorious Israel. 

Remember... it was Netanyahu who said he was told by CENTCOM that the Iranians were weeks away from being able to make a nuclear weapon and it was that assessment which prompted him to attack Iran before the agreement with Trump could be signed.

'The head of U.S. Central Command, Gen. Michael Kurilla, testified in mid-June that if Iran were to decide to sprint to a nuclear weapon, it would be able to produce enough weapons-grade material for a simple nuclear weapon in one week and could make enough for 10 nuclear weapons in three weeks' CBS

It was CENTCOM that then carried out Trump's illegal attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities.

'Tampa was at the heart of the secret bombing campaign that hit three Iranian nuclear facilities.

Home to MacDill Air Force base and U.S. Central Command, CentCom, military officials in Tampa directed a precision strike under President Donald Trump’s orders to destroy or degrade Iran’s nuclear program" Tampa Bay Times

And now it's CENTCOM that is at the heart of the story about Iran's nuclear facilities were barely damaged... thus leaving them as a remaining 'existential threat' to Israel.

 

 “We now have an unprecedented opportunity to advance the vision of a prosperous and integrated Middle East in which U.S. national interests are advanced and Iran’s violent attempts to upend this peaceful order are defeated,” Gen. Michael “Erik” Kurilla, Commander CENTCOM (Jan 2025)

He traveled to Israel in February to meet with the chief of the Israeli Defense Force and others to discuss how both countries’ militaries could work more closely.  Tampa Bay Times

This is damning. CNN, warmongers from the start, are pushing the DIA/CENTCOM narrative.

'The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months, according to an early US intelligence assessment that was described by seven people briefed on it.

The assessment, which has not been previously reported, was produced by the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon’s intelligence arm. It is based on a battle damage assessment conducted by US Central Command in the aftermath of the US strikes, one of the sources said...

“So the (DIA) assessment is that the US set them back maybe a few months, tops,” this person added...' CNN

So the guy who worked with the IDF and military leadership in Feb 2025 after saying this was our 'chance' to regime change Iran once and for all has put together an assessment of damages that leaves Iran a threat.. perhaps requiring more war.

That's interesting.

Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei addressed the Iranian people yesterday and was full of praise for their resolve in the conflict with the Israelis and us.

His claim that Trump exagerated the results of the illegal bombing campaign was devoid of any specifics and leads me to believe he said what he said in order to reassure the Iranian people of their victory.

'He said the Americans attacked Iran’s nuclear facilities, an act that calls for legal prosecution in international courts.

Referring to the bluster of US President Donald Trump after the aggression and Iran's powerful retaliation, the Leader said the US president unusually exaggerated events, clearly showing how badly he needed to create a narrative.

“Anyone who heard his remarks could sense that behind those words lay a very different truth,” he said. “They failed to achieve their objectives, and they inflated their claims to conceal the reality.”  PressTV

But what were their objectives?

Another statement, this one from Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei, puts a finer point on it, again without any real detail.

'Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei has reiterated the Islamic Republic’s right to use nuclear energy for peaceful purposes as per Article IV of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), saying the country is determined to preserve it “under any circumstances.”

Baghaei made the remarks in an interview with Al-Jazeera TV Channel on Wednesday in response to a question about US President Donald Trump’s claim that the American strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities "obliterated" Iran's nuclear program.

What I have to say is that Iran's right to peaceful nuclear energy remains intact. Iran has every right under the NPT, under Article IV of the NPT, to enjoy nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, and Iran is determined to preserve that right under any circumstances,” he said.' PressTV

Is that what Khamenei was slyly referring to when he said Trump failed to achieve their objective? That they retained their right to peaceful enrichment, too say nothing of their know-how? 

Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's Director of National Intelligence, who had said before all of this that Iran was not trying to make a nuclear weapon, has come out with new intelligence... suggesting the sites are damaged well beyond repair.

'Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard asserted that U.S. strikes on Iran were effective in setting back the country’s nuclear capabilities, following reports that the attack set their program back only by a few months.

New intelligence confirms what @POTUS has stated numerous times: Iran’s nuclear facilities have been destroyed. If the Iranians chose to rebuild, they would have to rebuild all three facilities (Natanz, Fordow, Esfahan) entirely, which would likely take years to do,” Gabbard wrote on the social platform X.' The Hill

Has she sold out to the TrumpyBear crowd to give him a 'win' or.. is this starting to look more and more like the Bay of Pigs?

Her conclusion is based partly on a new IAEA report on the damage announced by Rafael Grossi, the head of the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog.

'Inspectors from the watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency, have been unable to gain access to the nuclear sites since the strikes. Mr. Grossi told Radio France Internationale in an interview that while evaluating the damage from the strikes using satellite images alone was difficult, given the power of the bombs dropped on Fordo and the technical characteristics of the plant, “we already know that these centrifuges are no longer operational.”

The centrifuges — giant machines that spin at supersonic speeds to enrich uranium — require a high degree of precision and are vulnerable to intense vibrations, he said. “There was no escaping significant physical damage,” Mr. Grossi said. “So we can come to a fairly accurate technical conclusion.”

He said, however, that it would be “too much” to assert that Iran’s nuclear program had been “wiped out” after the Israeli and American bombing campaign. Mr. Grossi noted that not all of Iran’s nuclear sites had been struck, and said Iranian officials had told him that they would take “protective measures” for the uranium they had already enriched.

Still, he said, the nuclear program has definitely suffered “enormous damage.” New York Times

As I stated in my video this morning, before all this came out, at least these new statements from the Iranians and the IAEA Rossi report, these centrifuges are EXTREMELY sensitive and LARGE pieces of equipment.  

Their components are HEAVILY REGULATED meaning you can't just build one in super secrete... unless of course you are Israel doing so at Dimona.

What this means is... even if only the concussion waves made it to the plants and not, say, the fireball explosions, the damage is still intense, cracking walls, weakening foundations, damaging the level set of the centrifuges themselves, throwing off everything to the point where they are probably unusable.  

Forget the potential damage to the centrifuges themselves, repairing the housing of them would take years, not a few months.

And that is if the centrifuges weren't damaged.

And remember, the architect of the narrative that leaves Iran as an 'existential threat' is the man who traveled to Israel back in Feb to work with them on removing said threat in the first place, his agency said they were possibly a week away from a bomb which Netanyahu parroted after his illegal strike and the guy who's agency carried out the illegal strike on nuclear facilities a week after, knowing full well Iran posed no threat to the United States of America.

A man who thinks they can rebuild the Middle East into something more profitable for our 'national interests' 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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