Let that sink in for a minute. That's the world we live in now.
Caitlin Johnstone article https://medium.com/@caityjohnstone/four-reasons-why-interventionism-in-syria-is-crazy-and-stupid-1e1f5fe51e3e
To Thwart Iran Save Idlib (al Qaeda) https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3687663/posts
Russia Postpones Syrian Offensive https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2018/09/15/syri-s15.html
All Parties Agree on Need for Political Solution in Idlib https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/2018/09/14/all-parties-agree-on-need-for-political-solution-for-idlib-presidential-spokesman-kalin-says
Russia will continue to support Syria against terrorists (but not right now... blink) https://www.sana.sy/en/?p=146990
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Have you noticed that the Turkish Overthrow Media is presenting AQ/Al Nusra in Syria as creatures of Turkey?
ReplyDeleteIt's an interesting moving of the goal posts..
Rather then sticking tothe fact- that AQ/Nusra/ISIS whichever rebrand you wanna use has ALWAYS been, from before 9/11, a US/UK/Israel or 5 eyes tool.
Regarding liberating Idlib and Russia blinking:
I respectfully disagree- and am more of the mind that the Astana 3 and Syria were always going to take a more measured plan in Idlib in order to prevent the US/Israel/UK allies from moving westward.
Aug 09
http://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspot.com/2018/08/how-russia-turkey-and-iran-are-going-to.html
"If Syria were to simply rush in and battle for Idlib as some persons suggest, the US and their PKK allies would take advantage of the chaos that would surely result. And Rojova will extend ever closer to the Mediterranean. Which is what the US and Israel both want!
It's really much more beneficial for regional stability that the Astana partners work together to deal with the Idlib situation in a more measured, careful manner. That's my opinion. And to my mind it makes much more sense for the actual preservation of Syrian sovereignty.
Considering the whole remake the region agenda is made or broken in Idlib...If the Usrael Kurds move westward then the war full out on Turkey is on
I think for the safety of the civilians its better. Clearly. But in terms of returning "every inch" of Syria to the people of Syria...? I don't think so.
ReplyDeleteThere was chaos galore during the battles for south-western Syria. So close to Jordan and Israel's occupied areas in Golan Heights, there was a lot of confusion and chaos. But I didn't see KurdISIS moving west much during that time frame.
I can't help but wonder why you think retaking Idlib from our proxy al Qaeda Contras would be any different.
In my estimation the Russians and Syrians planned to do exactly what they said they were going to do on those leaflets they dropped on the area. But they had to rethink it when the US kept saying there would be a million civilian casualties if they did.
What was the actual threat from the US with that statement?
The US would launch attacks and kill scores of civilians. Then they would show sat. images of the destruction and blame the Russians, Iranians and Syrians for it.
So they had to rethink it. Thats just my take. We will what happens. I still think the terrorist White Helmets are going to present their chemical weapons fiction at some time.
Good too hear from you over here Penny. I often mention your work and website in my videos.
Scott "I can't help but wonder why you think retaking Idlib from our proxy al Qaeda Contras would be any different."
DeleteDifferent location, different circumstances.
Yes, they leafleted the area, but still - it had to be done more carefully-
Why I think the different location/circumstances required a slightly different response was indicated in my first comment- relevant opinionating :)
"Astana 3 and Syria were always going to take a more measured plan in Idlib in order to prevent the US/Israel/UK allies from moving westward."
If Syria were to simply rush in and battle for Idlib as some persons suggest, the US and their PKK allies would take advantage of the chaos that would surely result. And Rojova will extend ever closer to the Mediterranean. Which is what the US and Israel both want!
I suspect in the South, Daara, Israel had already agreed more or less to stay away from the take back which is why we saw the return of SAA to border/check points and the return of the UN..
Here's a quote from Lavrov himself regarding the Idlib situation- you can find this and the link to source at my blog
“What is being presented at the moment as the beginning of a Russian-backed offensive by Syrian forces is not a faithful representation of the facts,” said Lavrov during a German-Russian forum in Berlin.
“Syrian forces and we ourselves are simply reacting to the attacks coming from the zone of Idlib,” he argued.
http://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspot.com/2018/09/russia-and-turkey-working-out.html
So at the moment no big offensive was or is in the making- this is verified by a report from Robert Fisk last week.
http://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspot.com/2018/09/i-prowled-front-lines-of-idlib-found-no.html
But something is in the works because the Astana 3 are working on humanitarian corridors...
The main plan for remake has always been the North of Syria- Idlib province is the block for that westward expansion- So, I feel it was going to have to be taken with more care because the Usrael Kurds wish to get on with their Rojova- so more caution had to be taken
Another possibility is Idlib ends up divided but still under official Syrian control
There was a map apparently leaked out of the latest tripartite talks in Iran
http://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspot.com/2018/09/russia-to-brief-un-security-council-on.html
Frozen conflict until the US moves out of the east or until its miserable enough for the US and it’s Kurdish proxies in the region- There seems to be almost daily reports of bombings and targeted hits on Kurdish fighters/SDF
Erdogan and Putin meet tomorrow in Sochi- Perhaps we'll have some more answers?
Or maybe just more questions?
Scott: you are one of a few I can sort of hash things out with- I appreciate it a great deal!
Additionally:
DeleteConsider the fact that humanitarian corridors had not been established tells us there was no operation ready to go.
Considering humanitarian corridors precede the military operations- as a rule in Syria.
take care Scott!