from Fort Russ
Russian President Vladimir Putin has just publicly declared that
Turkey and Russia have agreed to establish a demilitarized zone in Idlib
which will have a depth of 15 km, to be ready and in place by October
15th. This is effectively a ceasefire, with Turkish forces and Russian
military police that will conduct joint patrols towards the
de-escalation in Idlib.
Russia’s Defence Minister Shoigu has just publicly stated: there will be no military operation in Idlib.
FRN previously raised the possibility of Turkey securing Idlib on its own,
then working towards using this possibly to acquire territory or make a
better deal with Russia. It appears the second has happened, as we
forecasted. Our general operating thesis that ‘things are never as they
appear’ was confirmed as well...
[read more here]